| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yue Yuan | 37% | 35¢ | 37¢ | — | $316K | Trade → |
| Dalma Galfi | 65% | 63¢ | 64¢ | — | $198K | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which player will win the head-to-head matchup between Galfi and Yuan. It matters because it aggregates real-money beliefs about the likely winner and reacts to new information about the match.
This is a single-match market between two professional tennis players; the specific tournament, round, and playing surface (hard, clay, grass, or indoor) can materially affect expected match dynamics. Context such as recent results, travel schedule, and any reported injuries or withdrawals should be checked before trading or interpreting market movement.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants and update as new information arrives; treat them as a live summary of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction, and watch for sharp moves around official status updates (start time, lineup changes, injury reports).
There are two mutually exclusive outcomes: Galfi wins the match or Yuan wins the match. The market will settle on the official match winner per the platform's settlement rules.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event page. Typically the market closes at a platform-specified time tied to the scheduled match start or when the platform announces closure—check the event page for updates and official closure notices.
Settlement follows the platform’s official policies: commonly, markets settle on the official completed match result; if a match is cancelled or not completed, the platform’s dispute/settlement rules determine whether the market is voided, held open, or settled based on later completion. Consult KALSHI’s event settlement rules for the definitive procedure.
Head-to-head results can indicate matchup tendencies but should be considered alongside surface, recency of those meetings, and current form. A lopsided past record may matter less if conditions or fitness have changed since prior encounters.
Authoritative updates come from the tournament’s official website or social channels, official live scoring services (WTA/ATP or the tournament’s live score), and the KALSHI event page for market-specific notices and settlement announcements.