| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fresno St. | 0% | 8¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grand Canyon | 0% | 75¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team—Fresno State or Grand Canyon—will be leading at the official end of the first half. First-half outcomes matter for traders who want exposure to early-game dynamics and halftime hedging strategies.
Fresno State and Grand Canyon are collegiate programs whose first-half results often reflect starting-lineup matchups, tempo, and coaching game plans. Historical head-to-head and season-long trends in opening quarters can inform expectations, but each matchup is shaped by late-breaking lineup changes, travel, and game context.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about which team will be leading at halftime and update as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.) becomes available.
The market resolves based on the official score at the end of the first half as recorded by the sport's official scorer—i.e., the score at halftime or after the second quarter, per the governing body.
The three outcomes are: Fresno State leading at official halftime, Grand Canyon leading at official halftime, or the score being tied at official halftime (the 'Tie' outcome). The outcome that matches the official halftime score is the winning outcome.
No. Any play or scoring after official halftime—including overtime—does not affect this market; resolution is determined solely by the official halftime score.
Such developments do not change how the market resolves, but they can materially change trader assessments and therefore market prices prior to kickoff; resolution still follows the official halftime score reported by the league.
Resolution in those scenarios follows the exchange's event rules: commonly a canceled or unplayed game leads to a voided market and refunds, while a postponed game may be held open until it is played. Check KALSHI's official resolution policy for definitive guidance.