| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli -3.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe -5.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Flavio Cobolli -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Flavio Cobolli -5.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Flavio Cobolli -7.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe -7.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the game spread in the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe — i.e., how many games one player wins relative to the other across the match. Game-spread markets matter because they capture expectations about margin and competitiveness, not just who wins.
Flavio Cobolli is an early-career professional known for aggressive baseline play and shot-making, while Frances Tiafoe is a more established tour player with power and big-match experience. Surface, tournament stage, recent form, and any prior meetings between the two will shape expectations for how close the match will be.
Market prices represent the trading community’s consensus about the likely game differential for this specific matchup; use them as a dynamic signal that reflects pre-match information and in-play developments rather than a guarantee of outcome.
It refers to outcomes structured around the difference in total games won by each player; each available outcome maps to a specific game-differential range rather than the simple match winner.
The event page lists the market close as TBD; typically such markets close at or shortly before official match start, so monitor the KALSHI event page for the confirmed close time and any updates.
Look for patterns in past meetings (if any), scorelines on the same or similar surfaces, and recent tournament performance; head-to-head context helps estimate likely competitiveness and whether a narrow or wide spread is plausible.
Settlement follows the platform’s official rules and the tournament’s recorded outcome; unexpected retirements or match abandonment can change how total games are counted, so check KALSHI’s event rules and official match reports for final settlement details.
Pre-match warmups and medical reports, confirmed starting lineups, weather/conditions, first-set competitiveness and break patterns, serve hold/break frequency, and live scoring momentum are all relevant to updating expectations for the final game differential.