| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli wins 2-1 | 0% | 14¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe wins 2-1 | 0% | 25¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frances Tiafoe wins 2-0 | 0% | 25¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Flavio Cobolli wins 2-0 | 0% | 19¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which exact final scoreline will occur in the Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe match; it matters because exact-score markets pay out only if the match finishes with the specified set score, making them sensitive to match dynamics and player status.
Flavio Cobolli is a young Italian player known for solid baseline play and improving tour results, while Frances Tiafoe is an established American with strong serve and aggressive tendencies. The matchup’s context — surface, tournament round, recent form, and any injury news — will shape expectations for whether the match is likely to be straightforward or tightly contested.
Market odds reflect how traders collectively assess which exact scoreline is most supported given available information; they update as new facts arrive (injuries, lineup changes, weather). For this event, treat movements in market prices as signals about changing expectations rather than fixed forecasts.
The market close time is listed as TBD for this event; typically such markets close at or just before the official match start, but you should check the KALSHI event page for the definitive close time and any updates.
Each of the four outcomes corresponds to a single exact final scoreline as specified by the market. KALSHI will resolve the market to the outcome that matches the tournament’s official final scoreline after the match is completed, following the platform’s settlement rules.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s official rules: if a match is not played or is declared a walkover before any official play, the market may be voided or settled per platform policy; if play begins and an official final score is recorded (including retirements after play has started), that recorded score determines the winning outcome.
Watch for confirmed start time, any withdrawal or late-notice fitness reports for Cobolli or Tiafoe, warm-up/practice reports, surface confirmation, and weather forecasts for the scheduled court — each can materially change the likely scoreline distribution.
If past encounters or recent matches show one player frequently winning in straight sets, that tends to favor straight-set exact scores; conversely, a pattern of long three-set matches suggests closer scorelines. Serve-break dynamics and stamina on the match surface are the mechanics that translate those patterns into specific score outcomes.