| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Secret Whales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BNK FEARX | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market concerns the winner of Map 3 between Team Secret Whales and BNK FEARX at First Stand 2026; Map 3 serves as the decider that determines which team advances in the match. It matters to traders because the map outcome directly determines settlement for this market.
First Stand 2026 is an organized competitive event where matchups are often played as short series; a Map 3 market isolates the decisive map rather than the overall match. Team-specific map strengths, recent form, and tournament map-pick rules are common contextual drivers for this particular matchup.
Prediction market odds for this market reflect the aggregated expectations of traders about which team will win the third map; interpret them as a real-time signal that moves with news, lineup updates, and in-match developments, and consider market liquidity and official tournament information when reading shifts.
The market settles on the team that is officially recorded by the tournament organizers as the winner of Map 3; any official adjudications by organizers determine the final result used for settlement.
If Map 3 is not played (for example because the series concluded earlier), settlement follows the exchange's published rules; consult the KALSHI market terms and the event's official communications for the specific handling policy.
Settlement is based on the final official match record after any technical issues are resolved and the organizers issue a decision; traders should rely on the tournament's official statements for the authoritative outcome.
Roster changes do not alter the settlement rule—the market resolves to the officially recorded winner for the team name used in the event—but substitutions can materially affect in-play expectations and should be monitored via official lineup announcements.
Authoritative updates come from the First Stand 2026 event page and organizers' announcements, as well as the teams' official channels; the KALSHI market page will also reflect when official changes are posted or when the market closes.