| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Denmark | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Korea Republic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Africa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Czechia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Macedonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Italy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Switzerland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Canada | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Qatar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brazil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Morocco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scotland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Haiti | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| USA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Turkiye | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paraguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Australia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Slovakia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kosovo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Romania | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Germany | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ecuador | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Curacao | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Japan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tunisia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Poland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Albania | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sweden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Belgium | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Egypt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| IR Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Uruguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cape Verde | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| France | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Norway | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Senegal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bolivia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iraq | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Suriname | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Argentina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austria | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Algeria | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portugal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colombia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jamaica | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Congo DR | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Caledonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Croatia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ghana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Panama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market prices which teams or scenarios will result in teams advancing to the FIFA World Cup quarterfinals; it matters because it aggregates public information and expert views about which sides are likely to progress in the tournament. Market movement can reflect late-breaking news such as lineup changes, injuries, or unexpected results in earlier knockout rounds.
Qualification for the World Cup quarterfinals follows the tournament's knockout phase, typically after the Round of 16, and historically combines predictable outcomes by top teams with frequent upsets by underdogs. Knockout soccer is highly sensitive to single-match events — red cards, set-piece goals, and penalty shootouts — which makes forecasting advancement more volatile than forecasting group-stage results. Markets for quarterfinal qualification therefore blend season-long performance data with match-specific developments that emerge shortly before kickoff.
Market prices reflect the consensus of traders and update as new information arrives; they should be interpreted as a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction. Price moves can indicate changing news (injuries, suspensions, tactical updates) or shifts in how participants weigh recent outcomes.
This market typically settles after FIFA officially confirms which teams have advanced to the quarterfinals; settlement timing depends on the tournament schedule and official result certification, and may occur once all relevant matches and any appeals are concluded.
The 64 outcomes correspond to the distinct teams or scenarios listed by the market operator for potential quarterfinal qualification; check the market's outcome descriptions to see whether each outcome represents an individual team, a specific matchup result, or a scenario combination.
Prioritize official sources—team sheets, injury reports, coach pressers, and starting-lineup announcements—because late changes materially affect knockout match probabilities; also monitor referee appointments, weather, and travel notices that can influence on-field conditions.
Sharp moves usually reflect new information entering the market, such as confirmed injuries, surprise lineup decisions, unexpected earlier-round results, or influential traders updating positions; liquidity and low volume can also amplify price swings.
Historical performance offers useful context—teams with deep tournament experience, strong defensive records, and successful knockout histories often perform better—but each tournament and match has unique variables, so combine historical trends with current form and match-specific details rather than relying on history alone.