| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harry Kane | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lautaro Martinez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ousmane Dembele | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Woltemade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Romelu Lukaku | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vinicius Junior | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alvaro Morata | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julian Alvarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raphinha | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ferran Torres | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richarlison | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matheus Cunha | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bukayo Saka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rodrygo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Memphis Depay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Darwin Nunez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Diaz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Randal Kolo Muani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mohamed Salah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan David | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Son Heung-min | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cody Gakpo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christian Pulisic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phil Foden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott McTominay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot — the tournament's top goalscorer. It matters because individual scoring outcomes combine player form and team progress and are a common focus for traders and fans.
The Golden Boot is awarded at each World Cup to the player with the most goals, with FIFA using official match statistics and tie‑break rules to determine the winner. The tournament format (group stage followed by knockout rounds) means players on teams that advance farther have more scoring opportunities. This specific market lists 32 named outcomes, has seen $55,791 in traded volume, and its close/resolution timing is listed as TBD by the exchange.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about which player will finish as top scorer and update in real time as news and match results arrive. Use prices to compare how the market values different players relative to one another, and note liquidity (volume) when assessing tradeability.
The market's close is listed as TBD; resolution typically occurs after FIFA officially confirms the Golden Boot recipient following the tournament final and the application of FIFA's tie‑break rules. KALSHI will settle the market according to its posted market rules and the official FIFA announcement.
The winner is the player named by FIFA as the tournament's top goalscorer based on official match statistics. If players are level on goals FIFA applies tie‑break criteria (commonly assists and then fewest minutes played); if official regulations produce joint winners the market will follow FIFA's declared outcome.
This market was created with 32 named player outcomes available for trading. If the official Golden Boot winner is not among those listed, the exchange's resolution rules govern how the market pays out — check KALSHI's published rules or market description for procedures on unlisted or otherwise unanticipated outcomes.
Coaches decide starting lineups, substitutions and penalty takers; a player who is rested, substituted early, or not assigned penalty duties will see reduced scoring opportunities. Tactical shifts (more defensive or more attacking approaches) also materially change a player's expected goal output.
Major drivers include injuries or suspensions to a player, changes in penalty-taking responsibilities, unexpected lineup announcements, a team being eliminated or advancing further than expected, and significant tactical news from coaches; match results and in‑tournament form updates also move market sentiment.