| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $434 | Trade → |
| Minnesota State | 84% | 64¢ | 95¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| Ferris State | 0% | 1¢ | 83¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the outcome of the Ferris State vs Minnesota State matchup on KALSHI and matters because it aggregates market expectations about which team will prevail. Current traded volume is modest, so prices may be more sensitive to new information.
Ferris State and Minnesota State are NCAA Division I men's ice hockey programs with a history of competitive meetings within their conference schedules. Recent seasons have seen both programs produce strong defensive systems and relied on goaltending and special teams, but team form can shift year to year. Head-to-head results and roster turnover (graduation, transfers) shape expectations entering each meeting.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as news arrives (roster changes, injuries, venue). Use the market as a real-time signal of perceived likelihoods, and check the event page for exact outcome definitions and settlement rules.
The market closing time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market will typically close before play begins or at a specified settlement cut-off. Check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and trade cutoff; positions cannot be opened or closed after the market has closed.
This market lists three distinct outcomes for the matchup. Consult the event description on KALSHI for the exact labeling (commonly: Ferris State win, Minnesota State win, and a third outcome such as tie/overtime/other) because resolution depends on those definitions.
Head-to-head history provides context on how the teams match up tactically, but small sample sizes and roster turnover limit predictive power. Use recent meetings as one input alongside current-season form, injuries, and goaltender status.
Key developments include starting goaltender availability, announced lineup changes for top scorers or shut-down defenders, and any late injury or suspension reports. Special teams leaders being unavailable is also materially relevant.
Resolution rules vary by market: some settle on regulation result while others include overtime/shootout outcomes. Always review the market's settlement rules on KALSHI to see whether overtime and shootouts are included in the winning outcome.