| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa wins by over 13.5 Points | 56% | 53¢ | 56¢ | — | $283 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 7.5 Points | 78% | 72¢ | 77¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Evansville wins by over 2.5 Points | 11% | 4¢ | 10¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 4.5 Points | 79% | 80¢ | 86¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 28.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 61¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 28¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 41¢ | 45¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 10¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 85¢ | 93¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell discrete spread outcomes for the college basketball game Evansville at Northern Iowa; it matters because spread markets summarize collective judgment about expected margin-of-victory and translate game factors into tradable outcomes.
Northern Iowa and Evansville are conference-level programs whose historical records, recent form, and roster availability shape expectations for this matchup. Conference standing, head-to-head history, and each team's season trajectory provide useful context for how the spread might move as game day approaches.
Prices on this spread market reflect the market consensus about which margin bucket is most likely but are dynamic and update with news; interpret them as a snapshot of collective expectations rather than a fixed forecast.
The market will close before the game begins according to KALSHI's cutoff rules; the exact close time is listed on the market page and can change up to game day, so check the platform for the final cutoff.
They represent discrete margin buckets spanning possible final point differentials between Evansville and Northern Iowa, from an Evansville win by a large margin through a Northern Iowa win by a large margin; each outcome corresponds to a specific range of final-game margins.
Settlement is based on the official final score as recorded by the game’s governing body; that official score typically includes overtime, but always confirm the market page and rules for final-settlement confirmation.
Late injury news, confirmed starting lineup changes, or other team announcements often create immediate price movement as traders update their expectations; closely watch official team reports and credible beat writers for such updates.
If the game’s official final margin falls inside the exact range for a listed outcome, that outcome will be the winner for settlement; consult the market’s specific resolution language on KALSHI for details about ties, pushes, or refunds if applicable.