| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3DMAX | 73% | 81¢ | 87¢ | — | $891 | Trade → |
| SemperFi Esports | 16% | 13¢ | 18¢ | — | $645 | Trade → |
This market covers which team wins Map 2 between SemperFi Esports and 3DMAX in ESL Pro League 2026; map-level markets matter because map outcomes determine series momentum, bracket movement, and immediate tournament implications.
ESL Pro League is a high-profile international league where teams prepare map pools and veto strategies tailored to opponents; Map 2 typically follows the initial map and is shaped by prior vetoes, side selection rules, and any tactical adjustments made after Map 1. Historical matchups, recent form, and map-specific strengths are often better predictors at the map level than overall match records.
Prediction market odds represent the collective expectations of traders and update as new information appears—lineup news, map identity, and in-game developments all drive movement. Treat the price as a live snapshot of market sentiment rather than a fixed forecast.
Close times are set by the platform; markets for a specific map generally close before that map begins so settlement can be based on the scheduled outcome—check the Kalshi market page for the exact close timestamp for this event.
Look for previous head-to-head results on the same map, each team's most recent matches on that map in similar event settings, and any demo footage or stat summaries that reveal map-specific tactics and round-type performance.
Map 1 outcomes influence morale, economic situations, and visible tactical adjustments; a dominant or unexpected Map 1 result can shift market sentiment quickly as traders reassess momentum, side advantages, and matchup vulnerabilities heading into Map 2.
A late roster change increases uncertainty and usually prompts rapid market revaluation—verify the official announcement, consider the replacement's experience on the map, and expect higher volatility until the lineups and roles are confirmed in-game.
On utility-heavy maps prioritize teams' grenade usage, trading efficiency, and post-plant setups; on fast-paced maps prioritize entry fragging, coordinated executes, and raw speed on executes and rotations—review each team's recent demos to see which style they execute more reliably.