| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| paiN | 29% | 29¢ | 35¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| FURIA | 0% | 64¢ | 72¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win Map 2 of the ESL Pro League 2026 match between paiN and FURIA; map-level markets matter because a single map can decide a series and reflects matchup-specific strengths.
ESL Pro League is a major professional Counter-Strike series where matches are played as multi-map affairs (best-of formats varying by stage). paiN and FURIA are established organizations with distinct playstyles; Map 2 outcomes depend on map veto choices, lineup stability, and tactical preparation rather than series-level reputation alone.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' real-time judgments about who will win Map 2 and update as new information (vetoes, lineups, delays, live events) arrives; treat them as dynamic signals that reflect available information at each moment.
There are two outcomes: paiN wins Map 2, or FURIA wins Map 2. Settlement is based on the official Map 2 result as recorded by ESL and the exchange.
The market closes at the time shown on the exchange listing (check KALSHI). Exchanges commonly close markets before the map begins or follow their posted policy if delays occur.
The veto process determines which map is played; teams often have map-specific strengths and weaknesses, so the chosen map is a primary driver of competitive balance and of how traders value each outcome.
Last-minute roster moves can materially change competitive expectations and typically cause traders to adjust positions; regardless, the market will settle based on the official match result for Map 2 unless the exchange's rules state otherwise.
Potential reasons include match cancellation, abandonment, disqualification, official replay/forfeit, or other extraordinary events. The exchange follows ESL and its own published settlement rules in such cases, so check KALSHI's terms for specifics.