| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| M80 | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on the winner of Map 1 in the ESL Pro League 2026 match between M80 and Team Liquid, letting traders express expectations about the opening map in a high-stakes league fixture. It matters because a Map 1 result can set momentum for the match and reflect map-specific strengths.
ESL Pro League is a premier global league in competitive Counter‑Strike and its 2026 season features established organizations and rising squads across international regions. Team Liquid is a long‑standing organization in top‑level competition, while M80 represents a newer/regionally strong contender — their meeting highlights shifting competitive dynamics. Source: KALSHI; total volume traded on this market is listed as $0, there are two outcomes, and the market close time is currently TBD.
Prediction market odds aggregate trader expectations and public information about lineups, map vetoes, and recent form; changes in odds reflect new information arriving before the market closes. Treat odds as a real‑time summary of consensus expectations rather than a fixed forecast — they can move quickly when official announcements appear.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically markets for a match map close at or shortly before the official match start or when ESL publishes the confirmed map and lineups. Traders should watch the official ESL match schedule and KALSHI notices for the announced close time.
The two outcomes correspond to which team wins Map 1 of the match (M80 wins Map 1 vs. Liquid wins Map 1). Settlement follows ESL's official match record for Map 1 as reported by the tournament operator.
Overtime results are included in the official map outcome; the market will settle to the team recorded by ESL as the Map 1 winner after overtime. If ESL cancels or voids the map for any reason, settlement will follow tournament rules and the market's stated resolution policy.
Announcements made before the market closes will typically be incorporated into prices as traders update positions; for settlement, the official starting lineup at match start (as recognized by ESL) is what matters. Substitutions after the market has closed do not change how the map result is settled.
Focus on recent head‑to‑head results specifically on the map played as Map 1, each team’s win/loss trends on that map, map‑specific player performance (fragging, utility, clutch rates), and recent tournament context (LAN vs online). These map‑level details are more predictive for a single‑map market than overall win rates.