| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 maps | 52% | 47¢ | 52¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market asks whether the total number of maps played in the ESL Pro League 2026 match between Aurora Gaming and G2 will fall above or below a stated threshold; map count is a proxy for how competitive and closely matched the two teams are on match day.
ESL Pro League is a top-level international Counter-Strike league; matches can be best-of-one, best-of-three, or best-of-five depending on stage, and format strongly shapes potential map totals. Aurora Gaming and G2 are competing under the league's rules and the match outcome will be determined by the official ESL match record and tournament administration.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about how many maps this particular match will go to and will move as news (format confirmation, roster changes, injuries, etc.) arrives. Final settlement is based on the official match result as recorded by the event organizer and the market platform's settlement rules.
Closure for this market is listed as TBD; typically, Kalshi-style markets close at or just before the official match start time specified by the tournament. Check the market page and the official ESL match schedule for the confirmed close time.
The final total is the number of official maps completed as recorded by ESL match officials. That count includes all maps played to completion or to an official administrative decision; any refunds or special-case settlements follow the market platform's published rules and the tournament's official record.
Yes — the match format sets the maximum possible number of maps. Confirm the format on the ESL Pro League schedule for this specific fixture because a BO1 caps the total at one map, BO3 at three, and BO5 at five, which directly constrains possible outcomes.
Late roster changes or stand-ins can materially alter team cohesion and map control, often prompting rapid market adjustments. Such news does not change settlement mechanics — the market still resolves to the official match map count — but it can shift traders' expectations about whether the match will be close or one-sided.
Indicators for more maps include evenly split map picks in veto, both teams having specialists on different maps, and recent close encounters between the clubs; indicators for fewer maps include a dominant map matchup favoring one side, decisive recent form disparities, or public injury/availability issues for a key player.