| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astralis | 0% | 45¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Legacy | 0% | 47¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win Map 1 of the ESL Pro League 2026 match between Astralis and Legacy. Map-level markets matter because the first map often sets momentum for the rest of the match and reflects map-specific strengths.
ESL Pro League is a top-tier CS competition featuring invited and qualified teams from around the world; matches are played in a best-of series with each map having its own strategic importance. Astralis is an organization with a long history at the top levels of international play, while Legacy is a challenger organization that has produced notable regional performances; their map matchups and veto choices will shape this specific contest.
Market odds on this event represent the market’s aggregated expectations for who will win Map 1 and will move as new information (map veto, official lineups, injuries, travel or server location) becomes available. Use the market as a real-time signal of perceived likelihoods, not a guaranteed prediction.
The listed close time for this market is currently TBD on the platform; Kalshi will display the official market close time on the market page and markets commonly close at or shortly before the scheduled start of the specific map. Check the Kalshi market page for the definitive close timestamp.
This market resolves to whichever team is recorded as the official winner of Map 1 by the event organizer (including overtime results). Settlement follows the official match result reported by ESL and the exchange’s resolution rules.
Resolution follows Kalshi’s event and force-majeure rules: if the official match report assigns a winner (forfeit), the market will settle to that result; if the map is not played and the organizer voids the match, Kalshi may void or settle the market according to its published terms—refer to Kalshi’s rules for specifics.
Look for past matches between the two sides and filter map-by-map results on trusted esports databases (e.g., ESL/HLTV match pages) to see which team has historically won or lost Map 1 and on which maps; give greater weight to recent encounters and similar roster compositions.
Roster changes do not change the settlement condition—the market still settles to the official Map 1 winner—but substitutions often influence market prices and expectations because they can materially alter team performance on a given map. Always check the official match lineup before the map start.