| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Martin | 0% | 42¢ | 45¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mathys Erhard | 0% | 55¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market is a head-to-head prediction on the outcome of the sporting contest 'Erhard vs Martin' on KALSHI. It matters because head-to-head markets concentrate attention on the matchup-specific information that most directly determines which competitor wins.
The market centers on two possible outcomes—either Erhard wins or Martin wins—and resolves based on the official result declared by the event organizer and KALSHI's resolution rules. Historical form, matchup history between the two competitors, and pre-match news (injuries, lineups, or other announcements) provide the primary context for traders evaluating this event.
Market prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders about which competitor will win and will move as new information becomes available; they are an information signal, not a guaranteed prediction.
This market tracks two outcomes corresponding to which competitor wins the contest: Erhard or Martin. The winning outcome is determined by the official result as declared by the event organizer and applied according to KALSHI's published resolution rules.
Resolution follows the event organizer's official final result. If the organizer considers extra time, penalties, or overtime part of the match result, KALSHI will use that official outcome to settle the market per its resolution policy.
If the contest is postponed, canceled, or rescheduled, KALSHI will follow its stated rules for delayed or canceled events; possible actions include adjusting the settlement window, voiding the market, or resolving based on the rescheduled event, depending on KALSHI's policy and the timing of the change.
Traders should monitor head-to-head records, recent match/performance data, official injury or medical reports, coach and lineup announcements, and any situational factors such as venue or travel schedules that could affect performance.
Public announcements can move the market rapidly as traders update positions; the speed and size of moves depend on the news' perceived impact and the market's liquidity, so monitoring reliable sources and official communications is important.