| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mariano Navone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player—Emilio Nava or Mariano Navone—will win the first set of their match. It matters to traders who want a short-duration exposure to set-level dynamics rather than the full-match outcome.
Emilio Nava and Mariano Navone are touring professionals with contrasting backgrounds and styles that shape early-set play. Nava typically presents an aggressive, power-oriented game while Navone brings baseline consistency and often performs strongly in extended rallies; the interplay of those styles, plus the playing surface and recent match fitness, will influence the first-set battle.
Market odds are an aggregation of trader expectations and public information about who will take the first set; treat them as a real-time sentiment snapshot and update decisions as new match information (surface, lineup updates, injuries) becomes available.
It refers only to which player wins the first official set of the match; the market outcome is independent of who wins later sets or the overall match.
The listed close time is TBD. On most platforms, set-level markets close at or just before the scheduled match start or first serve; check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and any updates.
Settlement follows the official match score: the player who wins the tiebreak is recorded as the first-set winner and that determines the market outcome.
Settlement follows the platform’s contract terms and the tournament’s official scoring. If a player withdraws before play, markets are typically voided or resolved per the platform rules; if a retirement occurs during set 1, the official scoring at the time and the platform’s settlement rules determine the outcome—confirm details on the KALSHI event page.
Head-to-head history offers useful context but is only one input; set-level outcomes are also strongly influenced by surface, recent form, serving/returning on the day, and short-term match conditions, so use H2H alongside those factors.