| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon | 0% | 29¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| William & Mary | 0% | 53¢ | 67¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team—Elon or William & Mary—will be leading at the end of the first half of their game. First-half markets isolate early-game advantages and let traders focus on starting lineups, opening strategies, and tempo rather than full-game variance.
Elon and William & Mary are NCAA Division I programs whose matchups can hinge on coaching adjustments, starting-five matchups, and tempo. First-half outcomes often reflect game-opening decisions (rotation usage, defensive schemes, early three-point looks) and short-term factors like travel, injuries, and recent form.
Market prices represent the collective view about who will be ahead at halftime and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, tip-off timing, etc.). Use prices alongside game-specific data rather than as the sole input to a decision.
The market typically closes at the scheduled start of the game's first half or at tip-off; consult the KALSHI market page for the exact closure time. If the start is delayed, closure and settlement will follow the platform's stated procedures.
This market includes three outcomes: Elon leading at halftime, William & Mary leading at halftime, or a tie at halftime. A tie is settled only if the official halftime scores are exactly equal.
Settlement follows KALSHI's event rules: commonly markets are voided or suspended if the first half is not played or completed, and positions are refunded; if the first half is completed later, settlement is based on the official halftime score. Check the exchange's specific policy for edge cases.
Verify starting lineups, injury or illness reports, official tip-off time, any travel or weather disruptions, and confirmations of coaching decisions that affect rotations or defensive assignments.
Home court can influence crowd energy, officiating tendencies, and player comfort—factors that often matter early in games—so confirm which team is the designated home team and consider travel or time-zone effects when evaluating the market.