| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brentford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Man City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liverpool | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Newcastle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tottenham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wycombe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wolves | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brighton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chelsea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wrexham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Grimsby Town | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cardiff City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Crystal Palace | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Swansea City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Fulham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which club will win the current EFL Carabao Cup season and aggregates traders' views on the eventual champion. It matters because it synthesizes public information about teams, draws, and form into a continuously updated market price.
The EFL Carabao Cup is an annual English knockout competition involving clubs across the Football League and Premier League, historically producing both favourites and surprise winners. This Kalshi market lists 16 outcomes (one per nominated club) and has attracted measurable liquidity; the market closing time is currently TBD and will align with the competition's official resolution.
Market prices represent the collective assessment of which club is most likely to be the official tournament winner based on available information; prices move as news (injuries, lineups, draws, fixture changes) is incorporated by participants.
The market's close is listed as TBD; in practice settlement will occur once the EFL formally declares the competition winner (typically after the final). Check the event page and exchange announcements for the exact settlement timestamp when it's posted.
Each of the 16 outcomes corresponds to a specific club nominated in this market as the potential Cup winner. The full list of clubs is available on the market page; only the officially declared champion by the EFL will be settled as the winning outcome.
Settlement follows the official result published by the EFL, which includes outcomes decided in extra time or by penalties; the team named the official champion is the settled winner.
The market will follow official competition rulings and the exchange's event rules: trading may be paused or outcomes adjusted pending clarification. For definitive guidance on edge cases, consult the platform's rulebook and any event-specific announcements.
Treat lineup announcements and manager statements as high‑value short‑term information: rotation reduces a strong club's immediate chances in a given round, while clear commitments to field strong teams increase their likelihood of advancing. Combine that with fixture context (e.g., nearby league or European matches) to assess how seriously each club is prioritizing the Cup.