| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Dober to win in Round 1 | 19% | 5¢ | 19¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Michael Johnson to win in Round 3 | 8% | 1¢ | 8¢ | — | $383 | Trade → |
| Drew Dober to win in Round 2 | 15% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $329 | Trade → |
| Michael Johnson to win in Round 1 | 12% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $172 | Trade → |
| Michael Johnson to win in Round 2 | 11% | 2¢ | 10¢ | — | $94 | Trade → |
| Drew Dober to win in Round 3 | 11% | 1¢ | 11¢ | — | $68 | Trade → |
This market forecasts the round in which either Drew Dober or Michael Johnson will secure a victory in their scheduled bout. It matters because round-specific markets capture finish timing and offer a different way to express expectations than simple win/loss markets.
Drew Dober and Michael Johnson are veteran lightweight/MMA competitors with long professional careers; both have mixed histories of early stoppages and decisions, so a round-based market reflects both finishing ability and endurance. Market prices can change as relevant information arrives — for example, weigh-in results, injury reports, or corner and strategy changes.
Market odds summarize the collective expectations about which round the fight will end and which fighter will be the victor; they update in real time as new information arrives. Treat them as a consensus signal rather than a certainty and check the market page for the current state before trading.
It measures which specific round the fight is officially recorded as a victory for either fighter; the market resolves based on the official result announced by the sanctioning body or athletic commission. Check the market page for the exact outcome labels and settlement rules for this event.
The six outcomes correspond to the outcome labels shown on this market’s event page (for example, specific rounds, ranges of rounds, or a decision outcome); consult the market’s outcome list to see the precise mapping used for this event.
This market will close according to the exchange’s published schedule and rules; because the market lists 'Closes: TBD', check the market page for the definitive close time. Typically markets close before the contest begins and stop accepting orders at the published cutoff.
Weigh-in results, injury reports, last-minute withdrawals or replacements, visible condition at the official weigh-in, and public comments about game plans or corner changes are the most common drivers of price movement for a round-based market.
Settlement follows the official ruling by the athletic commission and the exchange’s published settlement policy for this market; depending on those rules, the market may settle to a specific outcome, be voided, or result in refunds if the bout is canceled or ruled a no contest. Consult the market’s rules for the exact treatment.