| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 79% | 78¢ | 79¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Gabriel Diallo | 23% | 21¢ | 23¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on the winner of the tennis match between Diallo and Auger-Aliassime; it matters because it aggregates publicly traded views on which player will advance. The market provides a continuously updated consensus signal that responds to new information about the match.
Auger-Aliassime is a well-known tour player whose strengths typically include a powerful serve and aggressive baseline play, while Diallo is the opponent whose playing style, experience, and recent form will shape the matchup dynamics. The match outcome will be influenced by the tournament level and surface, as well as situational factors such as fatigue, injury status, and weather or court conditions.
Market prices represent the crowd’s collective view of the likely winner and will move as traders incorporate news, withdrawals, and in-play developments. Treat market odds as a summary of available information rather than a guaranteed forecast.
This market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes: a Diallo win and an Auger-Aliassime win. Each contract resolves based on the official match result per the market’s settlement rules.
The official close time is listed as TBD for this event; many market platforms close trading at the scheduled match start, but you should monitor the market page for the exact close time and any updates.
Surface strongly influences which player’s game is favored: faster surfaces reward big serves and flat hitters, while slower surfaces favor heavy hitters and consistent baseliners. Compare each player’s historical performance and style on the specific surface when evaluating the market.
Head-to-head results matter but are often a small sample and should be weighed alongside recency, surface, and context (e.g., tournament stage, match length). Recent wins, match load, and observable improvements or declines tend to be more predictive than distant results.
Settlement in cases of withdrawal, walkover, or cancellation follows the platform’s official rules; typically, if a player withdraws before the match starts the market may be voided or settled per policy, while retirements after the match starts are usually settled in favor of the player who advances. Check Kalshi’s event-specific resolution policy for exact procedures.