| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Diego wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Detroit vs San Diego matchup; it matters because spread markets summarize collective expectations about the margin of victory between the two teams.
Spread markets for a specific matchup compress many game variables into a set of mutually exclusive margin ranges that traders buy and sell. Key influences include starting players, venue and weather, recent form, roster availability, and scheduling; those factors drive how a matchup is likely to play out. Because the market here has multiple distinct outcomes, consult the event description for the exact margin ranges and settlement rules before trading.
Market prices reflect the market consensus about which margin-range outcome is most likely and will move as new public information (lineups, injuries, weather) and flows arrive.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a specific margin range as defined in the market description; after the official final score, the outcome whose range contains the point differential is the winning outcome. Always check the event page to see the exact numeric boundaries for each outcome.
A definitive close time will be posted by the platform; markets like this commonly close shortly before the scheduled game start or when the official lineups are locked. Until the close time is announced, trading may remain open but subject to change, so monitor the event page for updates.
Announcements of starting pitchers or key starters, injury reports or late scratches, official starting lineups, weather updates at the venue, and last-minute roster moves or scratches are the most market-moving items for a spread market.
Settlement follows the platform's official resolution policy; typical approaches include waiting for an official completed game, using the final official score if a game is completed later, or voiding/adjusting the market if the game is cancelled beyond the platform's allowed reschedule window. Consult Kalshi's event resolution rules on the event page for precise handling.
Handling of exact-boundary margins depends on how each outcome's ranges are defined (inclusive vs. exclusive) and the market's tie rules; the event description specifies which outcome covers boundary values or whether an exact tie is treated as a push—review those definitions before trading.