| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Diego wins first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading, or whether the score will be tied, after the first five innings of the Detroit vs San Diego game. It matters for traders who want to take a short-term position on early-game performance rather than the final outcome.
First-five markets isolate the opening phase of a baseball game, where starting pitchers, batting order, and immediate matchup dynamics dominate results. For Detroit vs San Diego, recent starter usage, lineup decisions, ballpark factors, and any late scratches or weather changes are the primary context that shapes expectations.
Odds in this market summarize market sentiment about which side will be ahead (or whether the score will be tied) after five innings, given available pregame and in-game information. Treat them as a real-time aggregation of bettors’ views, not a deterministic forecast.
It resolves based on the official score after five completed innings as recorded by the event’s governing official and the exchange’s posted rules; if the game is suspended or called before five innings are complete, the market will follow KALSHI’s specific resolution policy for that circumstance.
The three outcomes correspond to Detroit leading after five innings, San Diego leading after five innings, or the score being tied after five innings.
A starter change can materially alter expectations for early innings because of differences in handedness, stuff, and recent workload; markets typically react quickly to official announcements of pitcher substitutions.
Late scratches or DH/lineup changes change run-scoring projections for the first five innings—removing a key hitter or switching the order can shift perceived advantage and prompt market movement once announced.
If the game is postponed or delayed, trading and resolution will follow KALSHI’s marketplace rules: markets may be suspended until a new start time is set, and final settlement will adhere to the exchange’s policies for postponed or rescheduled games.