| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota wins 2nd half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit wins 2nd half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market determines which team—Detroit or Minnesota—out-scores the other during the game's second half (with a third outcome for an exact tie/no winner). It isolates second-half performance, which can differ from full-game expectations due to halftime adjustments and situational factors.
Second-half markets are designed to capture in-game dynamics: coaching changes at halftime, injury developments, and momentum swings that affect scoring after the break. Historical patterns that matter here include how each team responds after halftime, their bench usage, and recent trends in second-half scoring differential. Because this market focuses only on the second half, pregame form matters less than halftime status and immediate in-game news.
Market prices reflect traders' collective view of which side will out-score the other in the second half and react to live updates like injuries or lineup changes. Use prices together with halftime score, injury reports, and matchup factors to inform decisions rather than treating prices as static predictions.
This market is resolved based on the official score at the end of the regulation second half as recorded by the league or official stat provider; whether overtime or extra periods count depends on the market's specific rules, so check the event page for the definitive resolution policy.
The three outcomes correspond to: Detroit out-scoring Minnesota in the second half, Minnesota out-scoring Detroit in the second half, or the second half ending with both teams scoring an equal number of points (tie/no winner).
Resolution in those circumstances follows the exchange's posted rules for market interruptions; common approaches include voiding the market with refunds or deferring resolution to a rescheduled game if the event page specifies—consult the KALSHI market rules and announcements for the final determination.
Watch position leaders who drive scoring (e.g., the primary quarterback/attacker, top scorers, or the leading running option), defensive playmakers who can force turnovers, and coaches whose halftime adjustments are likely to change the game plan; late injuries or a key starter resting will strongly affect second-half expectations.
Key signals include official halftime injury/status reports, announced lineup changes or rotations, weather shifts at the venue, visible signs of fatigue or foul trouble, coaching behavior/comments, and rapid market price movement that may reflect new information hitting the market.