| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy | 43% | 29¢ | 42¢ | — | $226 | Trade → |
| Tie | 11% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Robert Morris | 0% | 53¢ | 67¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Detroit Mercy or Robert Morris — will be leading at the end of the first half of their basketball game. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game dynamics like starting lineups, tempo, and initial coaching tactics.
Both programs are NCAA Division I mid-major teams with distinct rosters and season narratives that can change rapidly through injuries, transfers, or form swings. The matchup’s significance for this market depends on timing in the season, recent head-to-head results, and each team’s short-term health and rotation clarity. Historical first-half tendencies and recent performance trends can provide useful context but are not determinative.
Market prices are real-time signals reflecting traders’ aggregated expectations about which team will lead at halftime and will move as new information arrives. Treat prices as evolving indicators of market sentiment rather than guarantees of outcome.
There are three outcomes: Detroit Mercy leading at halftime, Robert Morris leading at halftime, or the score being tied at halftime. Confirm the exact outcome labels on the market page before trading.
Settlement uses the official halftime score recorded by game officials at the end of the second quarter (the halftime whistle). The market’s closing time is listed as TBD—check the market page for the final posting and settlement details.
No. Only the score at the official halftime mark determines the first-half winner; any overtime or later regulation events do not change that outcome.
They can be very important. Late scratches, unexpected starting lineup adjustments, or announced minutes limitations alter early matchups and can swing first-half expectations quickly, so traders often react to such news immediately.
Settlement procedures depend on the trading platform (Kalshi). Typically markets settle using official game statistics; if no official halftime is recorded the market may be voided or refunded per platform rules—check the market page or platform FAQ for the definitive policy.