| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris: 4+ | 7% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $670 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 3+ | 49% | 40¢ | 48¢ | — | $488 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 4+ | 26% | 14¢ | 27¢ | — | $68 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 5+ | 14% | 2¢ | 15¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| Duncan Robinson: 5+ | 19% | 5¢ | 16¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Duncan Robinson: 3+ | 53% | 43¢ | 51¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 2+ | 75% | 57¢ | 74¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Duncan Robinson: 2+ | 77% | 65¢ | 77¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Duncan Robinson: 1+ | 0% | 59¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tobias Harris: 2+ | 0% | 29¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duncan Robinson: 4+ | 0% | 18¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Herro: 1+ | 0% | 77¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tobias Harris: 1+ | 0% | 60¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tobias Harris: 3+ | 0% | 6¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tobias Harris: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many three-pointers will be made in the Detroit at Miami game on KALSHI. It matters because three-point volume and accuracy are central drivers of game scoring, player props, and related markets.
Detroit and Miami bring different offensive profiles and personnel that shape three-point outcomes: one team may rely more on perimeter shooting and pace while the other emphasizes spacing, playmaking, and contested perimeter defense. Game context — home court, rest, recent form, and last-minute lineup news — will influence how many three-point attempts and makes occur.
Market prices represent the collective expectations about the listed three-point outcomes given available information and will move as news (injuries, rotations, tip-off status) arrives. Use those movements to understand how new information changes the market’s consensus.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific labeled three-point total or range for the Detroit at Miami game as posted on the KALSHI market page; consult that page for the exact breakdown of outcomes.
The official close time is listed as TBD on the event; in practice KALSHI markets like this typically close at or shortly before the scheduled tip-off or when final lineups are confirmed, so monitor the market page for updates.
Primary perimeter scorers, designated spot-up shooters, and rotation guards who create or take threes are the key swing factors; a late absence or reduced minutes for any of these players materially changes expectations.
Coaches can alter pace, instruct for more drive-and-kick or isolation play, use zone or switching defenses, and adjust rotations — all of which affect three-point attempt volume and shot quality.
Wait for official confirmation, then reassess based on the affected player’s role: losing a high-volume shooter typically lowers expected threes, while losing an interior defender can increase perimeter opportunities; update positions in the market after re-evaluating matchups and minutes.