| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis wins 2nd half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denver wins 2nd half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the second half of the Denver vs Memphis game; it matters because second-half outcomes capture in-game adjustments and can differ from full-game expectations. Traders use these markets to express views on halftime dynamics, coaching adjustments, and short-term momentum.
Second-half markets typically settle on which team outscores the other during the third and fourth quarters of a single matchup. Historical patterns — such as a team's tendency to make effective halftime adjustments or a propensity for late comebacks — can influence expectations, so participants often review recent head-to-head results and second-half splits for both teams. Official settlement details and any exceptions (postponements, cancellations, overtime treatment) are set by the market operator and should be checked on the contract page.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about which side will win the second half and update as new information (injuries, rotations, halftime score) becomes available. Use prices as a summary of market sentiment while also reviewing game-specific factors and the contract's official settlement rules.
Unless the contract states otherwise, 'second half' generally refers to the combined play of the third and fourth quarters of the listed game; confirm the market description and official rules on the KALSHI contract page for the definitive definition.
Treatment of overtime varies by market operator; some contracts exclude overtime and settle on regulation results only, while others include overtime in the final determination—check the event's settlement rules on the contract page.
The close time is set by the market operator and noted on the event page (here it is listed as TBD); markets often close at or shortly before the listed game start or may remain open into the game depending on the operator’s rules—verify the exact close time on KALSHI.
Injury and lineup updates announced at or before halftime are high-impact information for a second-half market because they directly change on-court matchups and minutes; traders typically reprice quickly when credible updates appear, so monitor official team reports and in-game announcements.
Resolution follows the exchange’s event resolution policy. Common outcomes include voiding the market and refunding positions or following a published contingency rule; always consult the contract’s resolution section for how KALSHI will handle such scenarios.