| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton wins by over 4.5 Points | 50% | 50¢ | 53¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 16.5 Points | 16% | 9¢ | 16¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 7.5 Points | 44% | 38¢ | 43¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 10.5 Points | 29% | 25¢ | 31¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richmond wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richmond wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richmond wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richmond wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 62¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders wager on the point-spread outcome of the Dayton at Richmond game, capturing how the final margin will fall into one of the listed spread bins. Spread markets matter because they aggregate information about injuries, lineups, and expected game flow into a single tradeable instrument.
Dayton and Richmond are conference-level college basketball programs whose matchups are shaped by coaching style, roster continuity, and travel. Historical matchups, recent form, and venue (Richmond is the home team) all influence how bookmakers and traders set and react to spreads. Late roster changes, injury reports, and rest patterns frequently shift market expectations in the hours before tip-off.
In this multi-outcome spread market each listed outcome corresponds to a specific range of final point margins; market prices reflect collective expectations about which margin range will occur. Always read the contract text on the market page to confirm how margins map to outcomes and how ties or pushes are handled.
The market resolves to the official final point margin of the game as recorded in the official box score (including any overtime). The margin is compared to the outcome ranges defined in the contract to determine the winning outcome; consult the market page for exact mapping and push/tie rules.
'Closes: TBD' means the exchange has not yet posted a final trading cutoff time; these markets commonly close shortly before tip-off or at a specified time on the contract page. Once the market closes no further trades are accepted, and settlement occurs after the official final score is available.
The 11 outcomes partition the universe of possible final margins into discrete bins (for example, ranges favoring Dayton, ties near the spread, and ranges favoring Richmond). The market description lists the exact numerical ranges or endpoints for each outcome—check it to know which margin falls into which outcome.
Key swing factors are each team's primary scorers, starting point guard/ball-handler, top rebounders and rim protectors, and leading perimeter shooters—plus any players listed as questionable or doubtful. Late lineup announcements, minutes restrictions, or suspensions are especially important for spread movement.
Overtime is normally included in the final margin used for settlement, and ejections are reflected in the official final score. If there are official score corrections or disputes, the market follows the exchange's settlement policy and the authoritative game report—refer to the contract and exchange rules for dispute timeframes and procedures.