| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the Twitch account or channel named Dantes will be officially banned by Twitch during the relevant calendar year. It matters because moderator actions affect a creator's ability to stream and can signal broader platform enforcement trends.
Twitch enforces its Community Guidelines and Terms of Service through warnings, suspensions, and bans; enforcement intensity can change after policy updates, high-profile incidents, or public pressure. The outcome for Dantes will depend on any alleged policy violations, public reporting, and decisions by Twitch's moderation team, as well as whether the market operator treats temporary actions differently from permanent bans.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about whether Twitch will enact a ban against Dantes in the defined timeframe and update as new information appears. To interpret prices correctly, check the market's official resolution criteria and recent news about the streamer and platform enforcement.
Resolution typically depends on the market's official rules, but most markets treat an official Twitch action that restricts the account's ability to stream (a Twitch-issued ban) as a ban; check the market’s defined resolution criteria for precise definitions.
That depends on the market's rules: many markets distinguish temporary suspensions from permanent bans and only count actions labeled by Twitch as a ban; consult the market's resolution policy to see which actions qualify.
Voluntary account deletion or an account made inactive by the user is usually not treated as a Twitch-issued ban; resolution generally requires an action attributable to Twitch itself, per the market's stated standards.
'This year' usually refers to the calendar year during which the market is active, but because the market close is listed as TBD you should verify the exact start and end dates in the market’s official documentation or resolution rules.
Markets typically rely on verifiable public evidence such as Twitch’s official notices or visible account status changes, corroborating reporting from reputable outlets, and the market operator’s adjudication procedures; check the resolution rule for the authoritative list of acceptable sources.