| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1 | 30% | 17¢ | 30¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| Sebastian Baez wins 2-0 | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sebastian Baez wins 2-1 | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniil Medvedev wins 2-0 | 0% | 56¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which exact final scoreline will occur in the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Baez. It matters because exact-score markets let traders express views about the expected competitiveness and set-by-set pattern of the match, not just the winner.
Daniil Medvedev is an established top-level hard-court player known for heavy hitting and consistent baseline play; Sebastian Baez is a younger Argentine with strong movement and clay-court pedigree. Match outcome dynamics will depend on current form, the tournament surface, and any recent physical or scheduling issues for either player.
Market odds reflect the collective trading view about which specific scoreline is most likely given available information; odds move as new information arrives (injuries, withdrawals, weather, live match developments). Use the market as a realtime indicator of how expectations shift rather than a fixed forecast.
It means the market will settle on the specific final match scoreline (the exact distribution of sets won by each player) as listed among the market’s outcomes, not merely who wins the match.
The close time is listed as TBD; in practice the market will typically close before the match starts. Check the Kalshi market page for the final announced close time and any updates.
Settlement follows Kalshi’s published rules: if an official final score is recorded, the market will settle to that score; if the match is not played or is voided under exchange rules (e.g., walkover before any play), the market may be voided or settled per those rules—consult the platform’s settlement policy for specifics.
Late injury reports, official withdrawals, players’ warm-up and practice reports, courtroom or surface announcements, and significant weather forecasts are the most likely pre-match information to change expectations for the likely exact scoreline.
The market offers four mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes as listed on the Kalshi market page for this event; each outcome corresponds to one specific final scoreline and only the outcome matching the official final result will settle as correct.