| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damir Dzumhur | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Filip Cristian Jianu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the first set of the tennis match between Damir Dzumhur and Filip Cristian Jianu. First-set markets matter because they isolate early momentum and can move independently of the final-match winner.
Damir Dzumhur is an experienced tour-level player known for baseline consistency and tactical variety; Filip Cristian Jianu is a younger player with a developing professional record. Surface, recent form, and any physical issues entering the match will shape expectations for the opening set.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about who will take the first set and will move as new information becomes available (injury news, warm-up reports, lineup confirmations, etc.). They are signals of market sentiment, not fixed predictions.
The winner is the player officially recorded by the tournament as having won the first completed set. A set decided by a standard 6-4, 7-5 score or by a tiebreak (e.g., 7-6) counts the same: the player awarded the set by officials is the winner.
Trading windows are set by the exchange and typically close before or when play begins on the court for the first set; this market currently shows a closing time of TBD, so check the KALSHI market page for real-time updates and the official close time.
Settlement follows KALSHI's event rules: if the first set is not completed or the match is canceled before the set starts, the market may be voided. If the set is completed even if the match later ends by retirement, the completed-set result is normally used. Always confirm with KALSHI's official settlement rules for final details.
No special treatment is applied: a tiebreak is part of the first set, and the player who wins the tiebreak is recorded as the first-set winner for settlement purposes.
Look at recent match scores, first-set win rates, serve and return statistics (aces, double faults, first-serve percentage, break-point conversion), any head-to-head meetings, pre-match medical or fatigue indicators, and surface-specific performance history.