| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 55¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 45¢ | 48¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 1¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half scoring spread between Dallas and Atlanta; it matters because first-half performance captures early-game advantages and coaching/quarterback matchups that can diverge from full-game expectations.
First-half spread markets isolate the game’s initial 30 minutes, so they reward information about starting lineups, opening play calls, and short-term matchup edges rather than second-half adjustments. Historical patterns—such as teams that start fast, conservative opening game plans, or venue-specific tendencies—often drive early-market moves and trader interest.
Prices in this market reflect collective beliefs about which side of the first-half spread will hold by halftime; they update as new information arrives (starter announcements, injuries, weather, etc.) and should be read as the market’s current consensus view rather than a guarantee.
The first-half spread refers to the point differential at the official halftime score. Settlement uses the official league halftime score as reported by the platform; in a multi-outcome market the specific outcome whose range contains the actual halftime margin will settle as the winner—consult the market page and KALSHI settlement rules for exact tie or boundary handling.
This market’s close time is listed as TBD, so traders should monitor the market page for a posted close; settlement will occur based on the official halftime score (i.e., at halftime) once the league’s official stats are available and processed by the platform.
Ten outcomes typically partition the range of possible first-half margins into discrete bins (specific score-differential ranges or exact-margin options). The market page will show how those outcomes map to point ranges and which bin wins given the actual halftime margin.
Early turnovers, a successful or failed red-zone trip, an unexpected substitution or injury to a key player, kickoff or punt return scores, and sudden changes in offensive tempo or play-calling are the most common catalysts for rapid price movement.
Watch official team starter announcements and injury reports pregame, realtime injury/rotation tweets from trusted beat reporters, official stadium/weather reports near kickoff, and the platform’s own notices; timing matters—late-breaking starter changes or scratches before kickoff are the most influential for first-half lines.