| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DC United wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread bracket the final score margin will fall into for the MLS match between FC Dallas and D.C. United; spread markets matter because they capture expectations about how close or lopsided the game will be. It provides a way to express views on margin of victory rather than just winner/loser.
FC Dallas and D.C. United are established MLS clubs with differing tactical profiles, travel considerations, and roster situations that commonly influence expected margins. Form, injuries, lineup choices, and venue effects (home crowd, pitch size) have historically shaped outcomes between these teams, making spread markets sensitive to last-minute developments. This market has four discrete outcomes, each representing a range of possible final-margin scenarios.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which margin range will occur; interpret them as indicators of relative market consensus, not fixed predictions. Settlement will follow the platform's rules using the official final match score to determine which spread bracket wins.
The market's open/close times are set by the platform; this event currently shows a TBD close, so check the KALSHI market page for the announced trading window and any updates as kickoff approaches.
Each outcome corresponds to a specified margin bracket (for example, win by multiple goals, win by one goal, draw/one-goal margin, or loss by a certain margin); consult the market description on KALSHI to see the precise margin ranges that define each outcome.
Settlement follows the platform's contingency rules: if the official match result is not produced within the timeframe specified by KALSHI, the market may be voided or held open until an official result is available — check KALSHI's event resolution policy for exact procedures.
Watch official starting XI announcements, late injury or suspension reports, travel and weather advisories, and any club communications about roster rotation or tactical intent, as these items materially affect expected margins.
The platform determines the winning spread bracket using the official final score recorded by the league or match authority and the bracket definitions in the market; verify whether the market uses regulation-time score only or includes stoppage time per KALSHI's rules.