| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 83% | 83¢ | 86¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Patricio Alvarado | 0% | 7¢ | 86¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which competitor — Dalla Valle or Alvarado — will be recorded as the winner of the listed sporting contest. It matters to traders who want to express a view on the match outcome or hedge exposure tied to this specific event.
The market represents a head-to-head sporting matchup between two named competitors; such pairings are commonly influenced by recent form, matchup styles, and event conditions. Because the market is on KALSHI and currently shows minimal traded volume, available public pricing may reflect early or thin liquidity rather than a broad consensus.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome will be reported as the official result; interpret them as a dynamic summary of available information rather than definitive forecasts, and expect prices to move as new information (injuries, lineup changes, official announcements) arrives.
This market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to which competitor is listed as the winner: Dalla Valle or Alvarado.
Closes: TBD indicates the market close time has not been set publicly; trading will typically end before the event or when an official result is imminent, but check the platform for the announced close once available.
Low volume means price signals may be driven by just a few trades and could change sharply as more participants enter; use caution and look for additional information before relying on current prices.
A credible, late-notice injury typically causes rapid price adjustments as traders reassess likely outcomes; if the injury leads to a cancellation or official substitution, the platform will post guidance on how the market will resolve.
The official outcome is determined by the event organizer or sanctioning body responsible for the contest; KALSHI will resolve the market based on the published official result or its stated resolution rules, which should be posted on the event page.