| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins by over 1.5 goals | 19% | 19¢ | 20¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| Lecce wins by over 2.5 goals | 10% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $30 | Trade → |
| Cremonese wins by over 1.5 goals | 11% | 7¢ | 8¢ | — | $27 | Trade → |
| Cremonese wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the goal-margin (spread) outcome of the Cremonese at Lecce match; it matters because spread markets capture expectations about by-how-much a team will win or lose, not just who wins. Traders use these markets to express views on expected competitiveness and margin of victory.
Cremonese and Lecce are Italian clubs whose matches in the top domestic competition are often decided by tactical matchups, set pieces and defensive organization. Recent squad changes, injuries, and fixture congestion can swing expected margins quickly; because this is a spreads market rather than a simple match-winner market, participants focus on expected goal difference bands. The market currently shows modest trading volume, so price moves may reflect a small number of participants or new information.
Market prices represent collective expectations about which margin range will occur; higher prices on an outcome indicate stronger market support for that spread band. Use those prices together with lineup news, weather, and tactical context, but remember low liquidity can make prices noisy.
Each outcome corresponds to a range of final goal margins; the market is settled based on the official final score at the end of regulation (including stoppage time) and that score is mapped to the appropriate spread outcome per the platform's settlement rules.
The market's close time is listed as TBD, so check the platform for updates; settlement generally occurs after the match concludes and official results are available, following KALSHI's published settlement procedures.
It means the spread is divided into four distinct outcome buckets (different margin ranges); traders buy or sell shares in each bucket depending on which range they think the final margin will land in.
Yes — low total volume implies limited liquidity, so prices may move more on individual trades and be noisier than in heavily traded markets; interpret price moves with caution and cross-check with fundamental match information.
Resolution depends on KALSHI's event and settlement rules: typically league matches are settled on the final score at the end of regulation (including stoppage time) and postponed or abandoned fixtures may be voided or rescheduled per platform policy, so consult the market rules for this event for the authoritative procedure.