| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Columbus wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the point/goal spread between Columbus (visitor) and Philadelphia (home) for a single game; it aggregates participant expectations about the likely margin and can be used to express views or hedge exposure related to that margin.
Columbus at Philadelphia is a head-to-head matchup where home advantage, recent form, roster availability, and matchup-specific strengths and weaknesses all shape the expected margin. Historical meetings between these clubs, the timing in the season, and travel or scheduling (back-to-back games, rest days) are typical context that influences how markets price the spread.
Market prices on the spread reflect the aggregated views of participants about which margin-range outcome is most likely; higher prices indicate stronger market demand for a particular spread outcome, not a statement of absolute certainty.
The four outcomes partition the possible final-margin outcomes of the game into mutually exclusive ranges (for example: a clear Columbus win margin, a narrow Columbus margin, a narrow Philadelphia margin, and a clear Philadelphia margin). Each outcome pays out if the final game margin falls into that outcome’s specified range; consult the market page for the exact ranges.
The market close time is set on the KALSHI event page and is listed as TBD until announced; typically spread markets close shortly before the official game start, but you should monitor the market page for the confirmed close time and any updates.
Settlement is based on the official final score recorded by the relevant league/authority and the outcome ranges defined on the market page; check the market rules for whether overtime or shootout results are included in the final margin and for any tie/edge-case provisions.
Late roster news can materially shift expected margins; monitor official team reports and trusted beat writers in the hours before the game, and be prepared for rapid price moves as new information is reflected by the market.
If the event is postponed or canceled, KALSHI’s event-specific rules determine whether the market is suspended, rescheduled, or voided—refer to the market page and platform rules for the definitive outcome and any refund or settlement policies.