| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the spread for the first five innings of a Major League Baseball game between the Colorado Rockies and the Toronto Blue Jays. It allows participants to speculate on the run differential established by the starting pitchers and offensive performance through the midpoint of the contest.
The First 5 (F5) market focuses exclusively on the performance of starting pitchers and the initial offensive output, removing the influence of bullpens. Historically, altitude adjustments in Colorado and the offensive capabilities of the Toronto lineup are critical variables when evaluating the run spread. Market participants monitor starting pitching matchups and weather conditions as primary indicators of how the score will unfold in the early innings.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how many runs the favored team will win by, or how many the underdog will keep the game within, during the game's first half.
No, this market strictly accounts for the run differential at the conclusion of the first five innings of play.
If the game is tied after five innings, the spread is determined based on a zero-run differential; the outcome depends on the specific spread thresholds defined by the contract.
Weather, specifically wind direction and humidity, can significantly impact fly ball distance and run-scoring frequency, which are key variables for this market.
Yes, a change in the starting pitcher is one of the most significant factors, as the market is largely predicated on the expected performance of the original starters.
Events are governed by standard prediction market rules regarding game completion; generally, if the game does not complete the required five innings, the market may be voided or settled according to the exchange's specific policy.