| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the point-spread outcome for the Colorado vs Miami game across six discrete spread bands; it matters because the spread summarizes market expectations about the margin of victory and is used for hedging and speculative positions.
This is a head-to-head matchup between Colorado and Miami; check the market page for the sport, scheduled date, and kickoff information because those details determine context. Historical head-to-head results, recent form, travel schedules, and conference or league alignment can all shape how the spread is set and how it moves as new information arrives.
Market prices indicate collective sentiment about which spread band is expected to occur; use prices as a dynamic signal that updates with injuries, lineup announcements, weather, and other news rather than as fixed forecasts.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; typically spread markets close shortly before official kickoff once start time and final rosters are confirmed. Settlement is based on the official final score reported by the league or the event’s designated official source—consult the market page and KALSHI’s settlement rules for the exact timing and procedure.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a specific range of final point margins (spread bands) as defined on the market description. The market will credit the outcome whose band contains the official margin of victory at the final whistle; check the event page for the exact numeric boundaries for each outcome.
Settlement rules vary by platform: most markets count overtime toward the final margin, postponed games may be settled when completed within a platform-defined window, and canceled games are often voided with refunds. Verify KALSHI’s official event and force-majeure policies on the market page for this specific market.
High-leverage factors include injury reports to primary scorers or the starting quarterback/goalkeeper (depending on sport), unexpected lineup changes, key matchup edges (e.g., a dominant front seven vs a weak offensive line), and special teams or goaltending availability. Late roster news and coach statements typically prompt the largest pregame price shifts.
Yes: low on-market volume usually means wider bid-ask spreads, greater price impact from individual trades, and less reliable market consensus signals. Traders should expect higher execution costs and potentially abrupt moves on small news until liquidity increases.