| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Colorado vs Miami game; it matters because spread markets aggregate public information about expected margin and respond quickly to new developments that affect the final score.
A point-spread market focuses on the margin of victory rather than simply who wins; the same matchup can look very different depending on venue, injuries, and recent form. Colorado and Miami each bring program-specific strengths, coaching strategies, and roster changes that shape expectations for how large or narrow the final margin will be; the listed outcomes break that range into discrete resolution buckets.
Market prices summarize traders' collective view about which spread bucket is most likely, and price movement reflects new information such as injury reports, weather, or lineup changes. Use prices as a real-time signal alongside game-specific reporting and the market's outcome definitions rather than as a standalone absolute forecast.
The market lists Closes: TBD; typically a spread market closes at the official game start time or when the platform specifies. Check the KALSHI event page for the exact closure time and any platform announcements.
The six outcomes divide the game's possible margins into discrete resolution buckets or sides (for example, different teams covering by specified margins). The outcome labels and settlement rules on the event page define the exact margin intervals and which result maps to each outcome.
Starting quarterback(s), primary running backs and receivers, and key defensive playmakers tend to move the expected margin most. Also watch special teams and any reported coaching or scheme changes that could alter game plan.
A $0 volume indicates no contracts have traded yet on this listing; it may be newly posted or currently illiquid. Low or zero volume means posted prices may be provisional and especially sensitive to the first trades or new information.
Late developments can materially change the expected margin and prompt traders to move positions; injuries to starters, severe weather that limits a team's game plan, or last-minute lineup changes often shift which spread bucket is most likely. For settlement, outcomes are determined by the official final score and margin according to the market's resolution rules—review those rules for tiebreakers and exact settlement criteria.