| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A's | 54% | 37¢ | 52¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| Colorado | 0% | 43¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about which team will win the Colorado vs A's game; it matters because market prices aggregate public information such as starting pitchers, injuries, and weather. It can provide a real-time signal of how new information affects perceived win likelihoods for this specific matchup.
Colorado (the Rockies) and the A's (Oakland Athletics) meet frequently as part of regular-season schedules; recent head-to-head history, roster construction, and pitcher matchups shape expectations for each game. Ballpark characteristics, travel schedules, and any roster moves or injury reports announced before the matchup also influence the contest.
Market prices reflect the crowd's view of the likely winner and will move as material news arrives; because total traded volume on this event is small, prices can be more volatile and sensitive to individual trades. Treat prices as a dynamic indicator that should be interpreted alongside game-specific information like starting pitchers and official lineups.
This market has two mutually exclusive outcomes: a Colorado win or an A's win. The contract that pays out corresponds to the team officially recorded as the game winner by the relevant league and KALSHI settlement rules.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically markets close near the scheduled game start but final times follow the platform's event settings. Settlement occurs after the game is completed and the official result is available per KALSHI's settlement policy.
If the game is postponed, suspended, or otherwise not completed, settlement follows KALSHI's published rules and the official league determination; that may mean voiding/adjusting the market or waiting for the game to be completed and officially recorded.
Prices typically move to reflect the new information because starting pitchers and confirmed lineups materially change expected game outcomes; sharper moves are common when a late scratch or an unexpected starter is announced.
The market settles on the official game winner as recorded by the league, which includes results after extra innings when applicable; consult KALSHI's settlement rules for edge cases (walk-offs, ties declared by the league, or suspended games).