| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama wins by over 1.5 runs | 48% | 1¢ | 48¢ | — | $444 | Trade → |
| Colombia wins by over 2.5 runs | 63% | 1¢ | 40¢ | — | $240 | Trade → |
| Panama wins by over 2.5 runs | 61% | 1¢ | 65¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Colombia wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 1¢ | 62¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market focuses on the outcome of the Colombia vs Panama match listed on KALSHI and matters because it aggregates expectations about which of the four listed outcomes will occur. Traders use the market to express views on the match and to react to late-breaking information about teams and conditions.
Colombia and Panama have distinct football histories: Colombia is a regular competitor in South American competitions with a history of producing high-level players, while Panama has risen in recent years within CONCACAF and can be competitive in single matches. Past meetings and recent form shape expectations, but the specific context of this fixture (friendly, qualifier, tournament match, or neutral site) will strongly affect how each side approaches the game.
Market odds here summarize the collective view of participants and update as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, travel). Use them as a dynamic signal of how risk and information are being priced rather than a fixed prediction.
The market close time is listed on the KALSHI event page and is currently TBD; markets typically close shortly before kickoff, so check the platform for the final scheduled close time.
The four outcomes are the specific resolution options chosen by the market creator and are labeled on the market page; they might represent match-result categories (e.g., home win, away win, draw, special condition) or more detailed propositions—read the outcome labels and resolution rules on KALSHI before trading.
Significant late absences or surprise lineup changes usually prompt rapid re-pricing as traders update expectations; liquid markets respond quickly, but thin markets may show larger price swings or slow adjustment.
Home advantage is not a separate resolution criterion but is a real-world factor traders consider when pricing outcomes; verify the match venue on the event page because neutral-site matches reduce typical home-edge considerations.
Resolution follows the market's stated rules on KALSHI: the outcome is determined by the official match result as specified in the event description and platform rules, so review those resolution criteria (including handling of postponed or abandoned matches) before participating.