| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Notre Dame | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LSU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami (FL) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| USC | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Utah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Penn St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Auburn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Missouri | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BYU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Clemson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanderbilt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SMU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louisville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Carolina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arkansas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kentucky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TCU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virginia Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Carolina St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tulane | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Madison | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami (OH) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which teams will be named the four College Football Playoff qualifiers; it matters because it aggregates expectations about the CFP committee’s final selections ahead of the official announcement.
Since the CFP began using a four‑team playoff to decide the FBS champion, a selection committee evaluates teams based on results, strength of schedule, and conference championships. The market offers 50 distinct outcomes that map to possible qualifier sets or scenarios and will settle based on the committee’s official Selection Day announcement.
Market prices serve as a real‑time aggregation of traders’ views about which quartet the committee will choose and change as late‑season games, injuries, and other news arrive. Consult the market’s resolution rules to understand exactly how the official CFP announcement will determine payouts.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a specific qualifier scenario as described on the market page (for example a particular combination of four teams or a named scenario); review the outcome descriptions on the market to see how each maps to potential Selection Day results.
Markets with 'Closes: TBD' typically remain open through Selection Day and close when the market operator determines the official settlement time (usually at or shortly after the CFP committee’s public announcement); check the market page and resolution rules for the exact closing procedure.
Settlement is based on the College Football Playoff committee’s official Selection Day announcement (and any secondary official statement specified in the market’s rules); the market’s resolution policy will name the authoritative source used to confirm the selected four teams.
Only the single outcome that exactly matches the committee’s official named qualifiers will win; if outcome wording could be ambiguous in the event description, refer to the market’s resolution rules and any operator clarifications for tie‑breaking or ambiguous wording procedures.
Monitor conference championship results, key head‑to‑head matchups, major injury or opt‑out reports (especially at quarterback), committee rankings/releases and any sanctions or eligibility news — those items tend to drive the largest price shifts.