| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKO/DQ | 21% | 18¢ | 20¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Cody Garbrandt by Decision | 25% | 23¢ | 25¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Xiao Long by KO/TKO/DQ | 17% | 15¢ | 17¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Cody Garbrandt by Submission | 4% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $871 | Trade → |
| Xiao Long by Decision | 35% | 33¢ | 35¢ | — | $342 | Trade → |
| Xiao Long by Submission | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Draw | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
This market asks how the Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long fight will be decided by asking participants to pick the method of victory across seven outcome categories. Method markets matter because they isolate how a bout is likely to end, which can be useful for fans and traders who follow stylistic and tactical matchups.
Cody Garbrandt is a well-known former champion whose career is defined by fast hands and striking power, while Xiao Long presents a specific stylistic challenge that can alter likely pathways to a finish. Historical records, recent form, training camp reports, and matchup-specific factors such as reach and wrestling background all shape expectations for whether the fight ends by knockout, submission, decision, or other result. Because this market breaks outcomes into method categories, shifts in news or visible game-plan changes often move the market more than a simple winner/loser market would.
Market odds represent the collective expectations of traders about which method will occur and update as new information arrives; they should be interpreted as real-time sentiment, not guarantees. Check the platform for official settlement rules and the market close time (listed as TBD) before placing trades.
The market is divided into seven mutually exclusive categories that typically cover each fighter winning by knockout/TKO, submission, or decision, plus a category for draw/no contest; consult the market page for the exact labels used.
The market close time is listed as TBD; historically, method-of-victory markets close shortly before the official start of the bout, so monitor the market page for updates and the announced close time.
The market would settle to draw/no-contest if the athletic commission or official fight result records the bout as a draw, a no-contest (for example due to an accidental illegal foul that stops the fight), or if an official result is later overturned per commission rulings; final settlement follows the platform’s published rules.
Watch sparring reports and video showing striking sharpness, power, and defensive lapses (which push toward KO/TKO), and look for grappling-heavy camp notes, takedown success in sparring, or corner emphasis on ground work (which push toward submission possibilities).
Late-breaking injuries or weight-cut problems typically move the market quickly as traders react; if the bout is canceled or changed (e.g., opponent swap), the market may be suspended or settled according to platform and commission rules, so follow official promotion and commission announcements for authoritative guidance.