| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs the Cleveland and Seattle teams will score in a single game; it matters because total-run markets let traders express views about pitching, offense, and game tempo without betting on a winner.
Context includes team offensive profiles, starting-pitcher matchups, recent form, and ballpark influences that together determine run-scoring environment. Historical head-to-head results offer limited guidance because pitching matchups and roster composition change frequently, so current rotations, injuries, and bullpen usage are typically more predictive.
Market prices reflect traders' collective view about which run totals are most likely; movement in prices signals incoming information (lineup changes, weather, pitcher announcements) that shifts expectations about scoring.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific total-run bucket or exact total listed on the market page; resolution is based on the official MLB final score (including any runs that count under MLB rules) and the market will pay out to the single outcome that matches that final total as defined by the market wording.
Resolution follows the platform's contingency rules: if the official game never takes place or does not reach the conditions required by the market wording, the market may be voided or settled per KALSHI's stated cancellation and force-majeure policies—check the event page and rulebook for specifics.
Extra-inning runs typically count unless the market explicitly states it only covers regulation innings; confirm the outcome wording on the market page to know whether only nine innings or all official innings are included.
Late changes that commonly move the market include confirmed starting pitchers (especially last-minute scratches), lineup announcements and key batter injuries, unexpected bullpen usage or manager strategy notes, and weather updates that materially change expected run scoring.
Use head-to-head history as context for park effects or recurring matchup patterns, but weigh recent-season data, current-season run environment, and the specific pitching matchups more heavily because rosters and pitching staff performance change over time.