| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Cleveland vs Seattle game and lets traders express expectations about the game’s margin. It matters because spread markets summarize how participants expect the contest to be decided and can be used for hedging or speculation.
Cleveland and Seattle are professional teams with differing recent forms, roster constructions, and strategic tendencies; those differences shape pregame expectations for the margin of victory. Travel, time zone effects, and where the game is played can influence performance, while last-minute roster changes and weather at the venue often move market consensus. Historical head-to-head results provide context but each matchup is driven primarily by current-season personnel and health.
Market prices map to the relative likelihood that the game’s final margin will fall into each spread bucket; higher-priced outcomes indicate stronger market belief they will occur. Expect prices to move as new information (injuries, lineups, weather, betting flow) arrives.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; typically spread markets close at or shortly before the official kickoff or according to the platform’s published halt policy, so check the KALSHI page for final timing and any last-minute changes.
The six outcomes partition possible final margins relative to the spread into discrete buckets; the event page lists the exact ranges or labels for each outcome, so consult that specification to see how outcomes map to game results.
Key movers are official injury reports and starting lineup announcements, any changes to the projected quarterback or coaching decisions, weather alerts, and large bets or sharp action that shift market sentiment.
Late injuries—especially to quarterbacks or other impact players—can materially change expected margins; markets typically react rapidly, so reassess your position when official confirmations appear and consider reduced position sizes if liquidity is thin.
Low volume indicates limited liquidity, which can mean wider transaction costs, more volatile price moves on new information, and a higher chance you won’t find a counterparty for large orders; in low-volume markets, use smaller sizes and monitor order fills closely.