| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 22.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the first-half point spread between Cleveland and Chicago and determines which discrete spread outcome will be true at halftime. It matters because first-half markets isolate early-game dynamics and offer opportunities distinct from full-game wagers.
Cleveland and Chicago matchups are shaped by each team's opening rotations, tempo, and early-game defensive plans; those patterns often differ from how the full game unfolds. Historical first-half tendencies, recent form, and roster changes all influence expectations, but outcomes can shift quickly with late news such as starters or injuries.
Market prices aggregate participants' views about which first-half spread outcome is most likely and will move as new information arrives (injury reports, starting lineups, betting flow). Use prices as a real-time signal while tracking the event page for any logistical updates like the market close.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; check the KALSHI interface or this event listing for updates. If a specific close time is posted later, trades will stop at that time or at any platform-specified cutoff (often at or before tip-off).
Each of the 11 outcomes corresponds to a distinct labeled first-half spread result defined by the market (different point-margin buckets or sides). Refer to the market outcome labels on the platform to see exactly which first-half margin range or condition triggers each outcome.
Late injuries and confirmed starting lineup changes can have a large, immediate impact on first-half expectations. Monitor official reports, pregame warmups, and coach announcements—markets typically react quickly, so timing trades relative to this information is important.
They can be informative for identifying matchup patterns (which team tends to start stronger, defensive looks that slow scoring early), but they should be weighed against recent roster changes, coaching shifts, and season-to-season context that may alter relevance.
Low or no traded volume means fewer participants and thinner order depth, so prices may be more volatile and responsive to small bets or news. Consider liquidity risk before placing large positions and watch for order book depth and any incoming volume that could change prices quickly.