| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $240 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $233 | Trade → |
This market asks whether at least one player will record a triple-double in the Cleveland at Orlando game; the outcome matters to bettors and prop traders because triple-doubles are high-impact box score events that move related markets.
Triple-doubles are relatively uncommon single-game performances that require a player to reach thresholds across points, rebounds, and assists. Team styles, primary ball-handlers, and recent usage patterns shape the likelihood in any given matchup; Cleveland and Orlando each have players whose roles make them plausible candidates depending on minutes and matchup. Game context such as schedule, rest, and injury availability will shift those chances in the hours before tip-off.
Market prices reflect the collective, up-to-the-minute view of whether a triple-double will occur and will move as new information (lineups, injuries, rotations, in-game developments) arrives. Use the market price as a real-time signal rather than a fixed prediction; confirm official settlement rules and timing on the exchange.
Candidates are typically Cleveland’s primary playmakers and versatile bigs who handle the ball, create for teammates, and crash the glass; monitor the confirmed starting lineup and projected minutes to identify which Cavaliers will have the workload needed for a triple-double.
Orlando candidates are the team’s primary scorers and playmakers plus any versatile forwards/centers who rebound heavily; check Orlando’s rotation and whether primary ball-handlers are expected to play starter-level minutes to assess their chances.
Overtime and a close, competitive game increase total minutes and possessions, boosting the chance of a triple-double; conversely, a lopsided blowout reduces starter minutes and lowers the probability of any player reaching all three statistical thresholds.
Treat official injury reports and confirmed scratch/lineup announcements as primary drivers—loss of a key playmaker or rebounder reduces the pool of realistic triple-double candidates, while a surprise starter or extended minutes for a ball-dominant player raises the chance; update positions promptly in the market before it closes.
The market’s close time will be posted on the KALSHI event page (currently TBD); settlement is based on the official box score for the listed game as defined by the exchange’s rules, which typically include statistics accumulated in regulation and may include overtime—refer to the event’s specific settlement rules on KALSHI for the authoritative definition.