| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden: 3+ | 45% | 36¢ | 45¢ | — | $726 | Trade → |
| James Harden: 2+ | 72% | 45¢ | 70¢ | — | $135 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 2+ | 41% | 36¢ | 41¢ | — | $72 | Trade → |
| James Harden: 4+ | 24% | 2¢ | 24¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3+ | 59% | 53¢ | 60¢ | — | $28 | Trade → |
| James Harden: 5+ | 12% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 3+ | 43% | 30¢ | 40¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| Desmond Bane: 3+ | 49% | 38¢ | 42¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 3+ | 19% | 2¢ | 22¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| Donovan Mitchell: 1+ | 0% | 71¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 1+ | 0% | 50¢ | 77¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donovan Mitchell: 4+ | 0% | 10¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donovan Mitchell: 2+ | 0% | 55¢ | 82¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Desmond Bane: 2+ | 0% | 43¢ | 71¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Desmond Bane: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 4+ | 0% | 2¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Harden: 1+ | 0% | 67¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Desmond Bane: 1+ | 0% | 66¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Desmond Bane: 4+ | 0% | 2¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donovan Mitchell: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 4+ | 0% | 2¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 2+ | 0% | 2¢ | 71¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 1+ | 0% | 2¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on which three-pointer-related outcome will occur in the Cleveland at Orlando game; it matters because three-point production and distribution often determine game flow and final margins in today's NBA.
Cleveland and Orlando enter matchups with different offensive identities and defensive schemes that influence perimeter shooting opportunities. League-wide trends toward more three-point attempts and switching defenses mean outcomes depend on pace, matchup-specific defenses, and which players are available. Historical head-to-head tendencies and recent form can shift expectations, but this market captures traders' aggregated views at any given time.
Market prices represent the crowd's aggregated assessment of which three-point outcome is most likely and will move as new information arrives (injuries, rotations, weather of the arena is not relevant). Use prices as real-time signals of changing information rather than guarantees of an outcome.
This market lists 25 distinct outcomes covering different three-pointer-related resolutions for the Cleveland at Orlando matchup.
The event currently shows a close time of TBD; KALSHI typically closes trading at or shortly before tipoff or when they publish a formal cutoff — check the event page for the definitive close time.
Settlement will follow KALSHI's specified official data provider and their play-by-play/stat rules; consult the event's settlement rules on the platform to see which official statistic is used.
Late injuries or scratches can materially change expected attempts and who takes perimeter shots; such news typically moves market prices quickly as traders reassess which outcomes are attainable given the altered rotations.
Major developments include an unexpectedly fast or slow pace, foul trouble to primary shooters, a large lead that changes bench usage, or a tactical shift (e.g., focusing on interior scoring) — each alters three-point opportunity distribution and can shift which outcome is most probable.