| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0% | 37¢ | 51¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 2¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TCU | 0% | 45¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Cincinnati vs TCU game. It matters because the first-half result captures early-game advantages and can diverge from full-game expectations, creating trading and hedging opportunities for short-window events.
Cincinnati and TCU are collegiate football programs with different styles of play that can affect early-game scoring and tempo. Historical matchups, recent coaching decisions, and matchup-specific factors (quarterback mobility, offensive pace, defensive scheming) shape how the first half typically unfolds for either side.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about who will be leading at the official halftime whistle; the market has three distinct outcomes (Cincinnati leading, TCU leading, or a tie at halftime). Settlement is based on the official score at halftime as recorded by the game's governing authority.
The three outcomes are: Cincinnati leading at halftime, TCU leading at halftime, or the score being tied at the official halftime whistle.
Settlement is determined by the official score at the halftime break as recorded by the game's official scorers; that official halftime score decides which of the three outcomes wins.
The market close time is listed as TBD for this event; check the KALSHI event page for the exact close time — typically first-half markets close at or before kickoff and will not accept trades after the first half is underway.
Late scratches or injury news can materially shift market prices because they change immediate in-game expectations; traders react in real time, but settlement still depends solely on the official halftime score.
If the first half is not completed, handling depends on KALSHI's event rules for disruption — the market may be voided or settled according to platform policies. Check the event page and KALSHI rulebook for the exact procedure for this market.