| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU wins by over 4.5 Points | 43% | 39¢ | 42¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| TCU wins by over 7.5 Points | 3% | 28¢ | 34¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| TCU wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TCU wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 52¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TCU wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 22¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 33¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for the Cincinnati at TCU game — i.e., which margin-range outcome will occur. Spread markets matter for bettors who want to trade on expected margins rather than simply which team wins.
Cincinnati (Bearcats) and TCU (Horned Frogs) are FBS programs with differing styles and recent histories; matchups between them hinge on quarterback play, tempo and matchup strengths. The game’s context — conference alignment, season timing, travel and injury reports — shapes expectations and how the spread is set and traded.
Market prices in a spread market reflect the aggregated expectations of traders about the final margin and can move quickly as new information arrives. Because prices update in real time and liquidity can be thin, use the platform’s outcome definitions and movement history to interpret what current prices imply.
It measures which predefined point-margin outcome will occur in the final score margin between Cincinnati and TCU; instead of betting on a winner, traders pick the margin-range or side of the spread listed in the market.
The event page lists the close as TBD; typically these markets close before game kickoff and resolve against the official final score per the platform’s rules. Check the KALSHI event page for the exact closing time and the official resolution rules (for example, whether overtime counts).
The 11 outcomes correspond to specific point-differential bins or spread scenarios defined on the market page (for example, a range favoring one team, the opposite range, and possibly a push bucket). Consult the market’s outcome labels to see the exact margins each outcome covers.
Monitor official injury reports, announced starting lineups (especially quarterbacks), late scratches, weather updates at the stadium, and any coaching or roster news. Also watch sharp bettors and line movement on other markets as they can signal new information.
Low volume means prices can be more volatile and may reflect opinions of a few traders rather than a broad consensus, so expect wider swings on new information and consider that fills may move the market more than in heavily traded events.