| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the point-spread outcome for the Cincinnati at New York game; it matters because spreads summarize market expectations about which team will cover by how many points. Markets like this provide a continuously updated consensus that can be used for research or hedging positions in sports wagering.
Context includes each team’s current season form, recent roster and coaching changes, and any travel or scheduling quirks that affect preparation. Historical head‑to‑head results and venue-specific performance (home/away splits) provide background but should be weighed against contemporary factors like injuries and short‑term momentum.
Prediction market prices represent the collective assessment of which spread outcome is most likely; they move as new information arrives (injury reports, weather, lineups, public betting). Use prices as a real‑time signal of market sentiment rather than a definitive forecast.
The official close time is set by the market listing and will typically align with the game's scheduled kickoff or a platform‑defined cutoff; check the market page for the exact close time and any updates if the schedule changes.
The four outcomes correspond to distinct spread result categories defined by the listing (for example, different margin ranges or which side covers); the market description lists the exact definitions that determine which outcome pays at settlement.
Watch injury reports and final active/inactive lists, late lineup changes, official weather updates, and any breaking news about travel or discipline — those items tend to move spread expectations most immediately.
Resolution follows the platform’s event rules: markets may be voided, suspended, or settled based on the official status of the game and any rescheduling; consult KALSHI’s market resolution policy for specifics.
Head‑to‑head history can reveal tendencies (e.g., typical margin ranges at that venue) but should be combined with current roster, coaching, and situational context, since team composition and circumstances change over time.